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Watford vs Swansea Prediction & Win Probability

Swansea has a 38% chance to win.
Championship
Wed, Apr 21, 2027 · 7:45 PM BST
Championship
Watford
4-3-8Rating 1589
Form: DWLLW
vs
Model Probability
34%
Draw 28%
38%
Championship
Swansea
8-2-5Rating 1663
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Swansea

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.2%5.6%45.4%<1%
If Win 2.7%7.7%49.2%<1%
If Draw 1.7%5.1%42.9%<1%
If Lose 1.5%4.5%40.1%<1%

Watford

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%1.4%31.9%
If Win <1%<1%2.8%25.7%
If Draw <1%<1%1.5%32.7%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%37.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

WatfordStatSwansea
15Games played15
0.9Avg goals scored1.5
1.5Avg goals conceded1.2
27% / 20% / 53%Win / Draw / Loss53% / 13% / 33%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
WatfordStatSwansea
6All-time wins (20 meetings, 4 draws)10
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
0.8Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-09-01): Swansea 2–0 Watford