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Swansea vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Swansea has a 55% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Championship
Swansea
8-2-5Rating 1663
Form: LLWLL
vs
Model Probability
55%
Draw 25%
21%
Championship
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%54.7%
If Win <1%<1%1.0%45.6%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%53.2%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%57.5%

Swansea

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.5%6.4%42.8%<1%
If Win 3.1%7.3%48.7%<1%
If Draw 1.8%5.2%40.7%<1%
If Lose 1.1%3.6%39.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwanseaStatDerby
15Games played15
1.5Avg goals scored0.9
1.2Avg goals conceded2.0
53% / 13% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss13% / 27% / 60%
57% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwanseaStatDerby
6All-time wins (16 meetings, 4 draws)6
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-08-29): Derby 0–3 Swansea