Championship
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Swansea vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability
Swansea has a 52% chance to win.
Model Prediction Through Season
Derby
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 7.7% | 31.4% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 9.7% | 24.9% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 7.4% | 30.2% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 6.8% | 33.2% |
Swansea
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 3.9% | 12.5% | 49.9% | 1.2% |
| If Win | 4.4% | 14.2% | 51.8% | <1% |
| If Draw | 3.4% | 11.0% | 50.1% | 1.1% |
| If Lose | 3.3% | 9.8% | 49.0% | 1.6% |
| Swansea | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals scored | 0.9 |
| 0.8 | Avg goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 62% / 25% / 12% | Win / Draw / Loss | 12% / 25% / 62% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 25% |
| Swansea | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | All-time wins (16 meetings, 4 draws) | 6 |
| 3 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 2 |
| 1.1 | Average goals | 1.1 |