← Home / England / Championship / Matches / Derby vs West Ham

Derby vs West Ham Prediction & Win Probability

West Ham has a 56% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Apr 10, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Championship
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL
vs
Model Probability
20%
Draw 24%
56%
Championship
West Ham
6-5-4Rating 1790
Form: LDLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

West Ham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 21.1%39.6%49.6%<1%
If Win 23.7%43.1%49.8%<1%
If Draw 18.8%36.3%53.6%<1%
If Lose 16.2%32.5%54.4%<1%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%54.2%
If Win <1%<1%<1%45.3%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%56.6%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%59.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatWest Ham
15Games played15
0.9Avg goals scored2.5
2.0Avg goals conceded1.5
13% / 27% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 33% / 27%
12% Home win % / Away win % 38%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatWest Ham
1All-time wins (3 meetings, 0 draws)2
1Last 3 meetings (0 draws)2
1.0Average goals2.3
Last meeting (2026-09-05): West Ham 3–0 Derby