← Home / England / Championship / Matches / Derby vs Bolton
Championship
Fri, Nov 6, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT

Derby vs Bolton Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 47% chance to win.

1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
VS
3-1-4 · Rating 1600
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
47%
26%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bolton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%9.9%23.3%
If Win <1%<1%14.4%15.2%
If Draw <1%<1%9.0%23.9%
If Lose <1%<1%6.3%29.8%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%7.0%30.1%
If Win <1%<1%9.4%22.7%
If Draw <1%<1%5.6%32.8%
If Lose <1%<1%4.1%41.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatBolton
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored1.4
1.8Avg goals conceded1.9
12% / 25% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss38% / 12% / 50%
0% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatBolton
8All-time wins (16 meetings, 5 draws)3
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.6Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2024-03-16): Derby 1–0 Bolton