Championship
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT
Southampton vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability
Southampton has a 61% chance to win.
Model Prediction Through Season
Derby
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 7.5% | 30.9% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 12.1% | 19.7% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 6.9% | 28.3% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 5.5% | 34.9% |
Southampton
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 12.3% | 28.7% | 53.7% | <1% |
| If Win | 12.8% | 31.6% | 54.5% | <1% |
| If Draw | 9.8% | 24.4% | 55.4% | <1% |
| If Lose | 6.8% | 19.3% | 53.0% | <1% |
| Southampton | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 2.4 | Avg goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.2 | Avg goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 50% / 25% / 25% | Win / Draw / Loss | 12% / 25% / 62% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 25% |
| Southampton | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | All-time wins (4 meetings, 2 draws) | 0 |
| 2 | Last 4 meetings (2 draws) | 0 |
| 2.0 | Average goals | 0.8 |