Home / England / Championship / Matches / Wolves vs Derby
Championship
Tue, Nov 24, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT

Wolves vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Wolves has a 63% chance to win.

4-2-1 · Rating 1754
Form: WWDLW
VS
1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
Model Probability
63%
16%
Draw 21%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%6.5%33.0%
If Win <1%<1%13.0%19.6%
If Draw <1%<1%8.7%28.3%
If Lose <1%<1%6.8%33.5%

Wolves

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 21.7%43.5%45.8%<1%
If Win 23.7%48.9%43.4%<1%
If Draw 18.2%40.1%47.7%<1%
If Lose 13.2%31.6%51.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

WolvesStatDerby
7Games played8
2.1Avg goals scored0.9
1.4Avg goals conceded1.8
57% / 29% / 14%Win / Draw / Loss12% / 25% / 62%
67% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
WolvesStatDerby
4All-time wins (10 meetings, 2 draws)4
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2018-04-11): Wolves 2–0 Derby