Derby vs Watford Prediction & Win Probability
Derby has a 45% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Nov 28, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Model Prediction Through Season
Watford
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 1.8% | 31.2% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 3.3% | 19.9% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 1.7% | 30.6% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 1.2% | 38.6% |
Derby
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | <1% | 53.6% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | <1% | 45.8% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | <1% | 56.8% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | <1% | 66.4% |
| Derby | Stat | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Games played | 15 |
| 0.9 | Avg goals scored | 0.9 |
| 2.0 | Avg goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 13% / 27% / 60% | Win / Draw / Loss | 27% / 20% / 53% |
| 12% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| Derby | Stat | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | All-time wins (17 meetings, 1 draws) | 9 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 5 |
| 1.7 | Average goals | 1.6 |