Championship
Sat, Nov 28, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Derby vs Watford Prediction & Win Probability
Derby has a 46% chance to win.
Model Prediction Through Season
Watford
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 8.1% | 25.7% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 13.1% | 18.3% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 8.2% | 26.2% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 6.0% | 31.8% |
Derby
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 7.4% | 32.0% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 9.0% | 23.8% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 5.8% | 31.8% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 3.5% | 41.9% |
| Derby | Stat | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 0.9 | Avg goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 12% / 25% / 62% | Win / Draw / Loss | 25% / 25% / 50% |
| 0% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| Derby | Stat | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | All-time wins (17 meetings, 1 draws) | 9 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 5 |
| 1.7 | Average goals | 1.6 |