Middlesbrough vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability
Middlesbrough has a 60% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT
Model Prediction Through Season
Derby
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | <1% | 53.1% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 1.1% | 40.4% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | <1% | 52.6% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | <1% | 59.4% |
Middlesbrough
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 10.1% | 21.6% | 57.2% | <1% |
| If Win | 11.9% | 25.1% | 58.5% | <1% |
| If Draw | 7.4% | 17.3% | 57.3% | <1% |
| If Lose | 5.3% | 13.4% | 54.5% | <1% |
| Middlesbrough | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Games played | 15 |
| 2.0 | Avg goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.3 | Avg goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 53% / 33% / 13% | Win / Draw / Loss | 13% / 27% / 60% |
| 71% | Home win % / Away win % | 14% |
| Middlesbrough | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | All-time wins (27 meetings, 7 draws) | 8 |
| 3 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 2 |
| 1.3 | Average goals | 1.1 |