Championship
Fri, Nov 27, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
Southampton vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Win Probability
Southampton has a 52% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 25%
Model Prediction Through Season
Middlesbrough
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 3.7% | 10.6% | 51.2% | 1.2% |
| If Win | 6.8% | 17.4% | 54.2% | <1% |
| If Draw | 3.7% | 12.1% | 51.6% | 1.1% |
| If Lose | 2.7% | 7.6% | 49.5% | 1.8% |
Southampton
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 12.0% | 28.9% | 52.8% | <1% |
| If Win | 13.4% | 33.6% | 53.0% | <1% |
| If Draw | 9.6% | 24.0% | 56.0% | <1% |
| If Lose | 6.5% | 18.3% | 54.8% | <1% |
| Southampton | Stat | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 2.4 | Avg goals scored | 2.0 |
| 1.2 | Avg goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 50% / 25% / 25% | Win / Draw / Loss | 50% / 38% / 12% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 25% |
| Southampton | Stat | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | All-time wins (10 meetings, 4 draws) | 3 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (4 draws) | 1 |
| 1.1 | Average goals | 1.2 |