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Championship
Wed, Apr 7, 2027 · 7:45 PM BST

West Brom vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

West Brom has a 49% chance to win.

4-2-2 · Rating 1656
Form: LDWWD
VS
1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
Model Probability
49%
24%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%7.6%31.3%
If Win <1%<1%10.5%25.0%
If Draw <1%<1%7.3%31.1%
If Lose <1%<1%5.0%33.2%

West Brom

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.7%4.6%39.4%2.9%
If Win 1.7%5.9%43.3%2.1%
If Draw 1.3%4.2%37.6%2.8%
If Lose <1%3.0%33.8%5.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

West BromStatDerby
8Games played8
1.2Avg goals scored0.9
1.0Avg goals conceded1.8
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss12% / 25% / 62%
50% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
West BromStatDerby
3All-time wins (12 meetings, 3 draws)6
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.0Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-09-09): Derby 0–1 West Brom