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Championship
Sat, Apr 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Lincoln vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Lincoln has a 47% chance to win.

3-2-3 · Rating 1637
Form: LWWDD
VS
1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
Model Probability
47%
27%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%7.9%30.7%
If Win <1%<1%10.1%23.9%
If Draw <1%<1%7.3%29.9%
If Lose <1%<1%6.0%34.4%

Lincoln

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.4%22.2%9.6%
If Win <1%2.1%25.6%7.4%
If Draw <1%1.5%20.4%9.5%
If Lose <1%1.1%17.0%13.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LincolnStatDerby
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored0.9
1.0Avg goals conceded1.8
38% / 25% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss12% / 25% / 62%
0% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LincolnStatDerby
1All-time wins (4 meetings, 2 draws)1
1Last 4 meetings (2 draws)1
1.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2024-01-20): Lincoln 0–0 Derby