Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-10 | 0–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Birmingham 39% | |
| 2018-11-25 | 4–2 | Aston Villa +2 | Aston Villa 55% | |
| 2018-02-11 | 2–0 | Aston Villa +2 | Aston Villa 61% | |
| 2017-10-29 | 0–0 | Draw | Aston Villa 43% | |
| 2017-04-23 | 1–0 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 56% | |
| 2016-10-30 | 1–1 | Draw | Birmingham 43% | |
| 2011-01-16 | 1–1 | Draw | Birmingham 49% | |
| 2010-10-31 | 0–0 | Draw | Aston Villa 45% | |
| 2010-04-25 | 1–0 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 54% |