Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-04 | 2–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 65% | |
| 2024-08-31 | 1–2 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 41% | |
| 2023-04-04 | 1–2 | Aston Villa +1 | Leicester 38% | |
| 2023-02-04 | 2–4 | Leicester +2 | Aston Villa 46% | |
| 2022-04-23 | 0–0 | Draw | Leicester 49% | |
| 2021-12-05 | 2–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 40% | |
| 2021-02-21 | 1–2 | Leicester +1 | Leicester 39% | |
| 2020-10-18 | 0–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Leicester 52% | |
| 2020-03-09 | 4–0 | Leicester +4 | Leicester 65% | |
| 2019-12-08 | 1–4 | Leicester +3 | Leicester 50% | |
| 2016-01-16 | 1–1 | Draw | Leicester 56% | |
| 2015-09-13 | 3–2 | Leicester +1 | Leicester 57% | |
| 2015-01-10 | 1–0 | Leicester +1 | Leicester 46% | |
| 2014-12-07 | 2–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 42% |