Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-12 | 0–3 | Aston Villa +3 | Aston Villa 64% | |
| 2024-12-07 | 1–0 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 66% | |
| 2023-01-21 | 0–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Southampton 36% | |
| 2022-09-16 | 1–0 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 49% | |
| 2022-03-05 | 4–0 | Aston Villa +4 | Aston Villa 41% | |
| 2021-11-05 | 1–0 | Southampton +1 | Southampton 43% | |
| 2021-01-30 | 0–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Southampton 48% | |
| 2020-11-01 | 3–4 | Southampton +1 | Aston Villa 40% | |
| 2020-02-22 | 2–0 | Southampton +2 | Southampton 49% | |
| 2019-12-21 | 1–3 | Southampton +2 | Aston Villa 47% | |
| 2016-04-23 | 2–4 | Southampton +2 | Southampton 56% | |
| 2015-12-05 | 1–1 | Draw | Southampton 62% | |
| 2015-05-16 | 6–1 | Southampton +5 | Southampton 58% | |
| 2014-11-24 | 1–1 | Draw | Southampton 53% | |
| 2014-04-19 | 0–0 | Draw | Southampton 41% | |
| 2013-12-04 | 2–3 | Aston Villa +1 | Southampton 53% | |
| 2013-01-12 | 0–1 | Southampton +1 | Aston Villa 42% | |
| 2012-09-22 | 4–1 | Southampton +3 | Southampton 43% |