Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-02-19 | 0–1 | Watford +1 | Aston Villa 56% | |
| 2021-08-14 | 3–2 | Watford +1 | Watford 44% | |
| 2020-01-21 | 2–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 38% | |
| 2019-12-28 | 3–0 | Watford +3 | Watford 46% | |
| 2016-04-30 | 3–2 | Watford +1 | Watford 66% | |
| 2015-11-28 | 2–3 | Watford +1 | Watford 40% |