Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-05 | 6–2 | Birmingham +4 | Birmingham 74% | |
| 2024-12-07 | 1–2 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 50% | |
| 2022-01-22 | 2–1 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 44% | |
| 2021-08-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Barnsley 54% | |
| 2021-03-06 | 1–0 | Barnsley +1 | Barnsley 65% | |
| 2020-12-01 | 1–2 | Barnsley +1 | Barnsley 37% | |
| 2020-02-11 | 0–1 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 37% | |
| 2019-08-20 | 2–0 | Birmingham +2 | Birmingham 47% | |
| 2018-02-24 | 0–2 | Barnsley +2 | Birmingham 44% | |
| 2017-11-04 | 2–0 | Barnsley +2 | Barnsley 56% | |
| 2016-12-31 | 2–2 | Draw | Barnsley 45% | |
| 2016-12-03 | 0–3 | Barnsley +3 | Birmingham 52% | |
| 2014-01-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Birmingham 59% | |
| 2013-11-30 | 0–3 | Birmingham +3 | Birmingham 36% | |
| 2012-12-26 | 1–2 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 39% | |
| 2012-09-22 | 0–5 | Barnsley +5 | Birmingham 58% | |
| 2012-02-21 | 1–3 | Birmingham +2 | Birmingham 47% | |
| 2011-09-24 | 1–1 | Draw | Birmingham 52% |