Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-22 | 0–0 | Draw | Birmingham 53% | |
| 2024-08-10 | 1–1 | Draw | Birmingham 61% | |
| 2023-04-07 | 1–1 | Draw | Reading 44% | |
| 2022-12-16 | 3–2 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 43% | |
| 2022-02-22 | 2–1 | Reading +1 | Reading 42% | |
| 2021-11-06 | 1–2 | Reading +1 | Birmingham 42% | |
| 2021-03-17 | 2–1 | Birmingham +1 | Reading 48% | |
| 2020-12-09 | 1–2 | Birmingham +1 | Reading 57% | |
| 2020-03-07 | 1–3 | Reading +2 | Birmingham 41% | |
| 2019-12-07 | 2–3 | Birmingham +1 | Reading 47% | |
| 2019-05-05 | 0–0 | Draw | Reading 40% | |
| 2018-10-23 | 2–1 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 44% | |
| 2018-01-02 | 0–2 | Birmingham +2 | Reading 58% | |
| 2017-08-26 | 0–2 | Reading +2 | Reading 36% | |
| 2017-01-31 | 0–1 | Reading +1 | Birmingham 37% | |
| 2016-09-13 | 0–0 | Draw | Reading 42% | |
| 2016-04-09 | 0–2 | Birmingham +2 | Reading 45% | |
| 2015-08-08 | 2–1 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 43% | |
| 2015-04-22 | 0–1 | Birmingham +1 | Reading 45% | |
| 2014-12-13 | 6–1 | Birmingham +5 | Birmingham 36% | |
| 2014-03-22 | 1–2 | Reading +1 | Reading 37% | |
| 2013-09-28 | 2–0 | Reading +2 | Reading 49% | |
| 2012-04-28 | 2–0 | Birmingham +2 | Birmingham 40% | |
| 2011-11-06 | 1–0 | Reading +1 | Reading 38% |