Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-02-25 | 3–0 | Chelsea +3 | Chelsea 64% | |
| 2011-10-02 | 1–5 | Chelsea +4 | Chelsea 46% | |
| 2011-01-24 | 0–4 | Chelsea +4 | Chelsea 41% | |
| 2010-12-29 | 1–0 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 55% | |
| 2010-04-13 | 1–0 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 66% |