Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 0–0 | Draw | Bolton 53% | |
| 2025-09-27 | 2–0 | Northampton +2 | Northampton 37% | |
| 2025-01-28 | 3–1 | Bolton +2 | Bolton 58% | |
| 2024-10-01 | 2–4 | Bolton +2 | Northampton 38% | |
| 2024-02-10 | 1–1 | Draw | Bolton 50% | |
| 2023-10-21 | 2–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 56% | |
| 2017-03-18 | 2–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 61% | |
| 2016-11-26 | 0–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 38% |