Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-17 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-30 | 4–3 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 42% | |
| 2026-04-21 | 3–0 | Brighton +3 | Brighton 46% | |
| 2025-09-27 | 1–3 | Brighton +2 | Chelsea 51% | |
| 2025-02-14 | 3–0 | Brighton +3 | Chelsea 37% | |
| 2024-09-28 | 4–2 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 55% | |
| 2024-05-15 | 1–2 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 39% | |
| 2023-12-03 | 3–2 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 43% | |
| 2023-04-15 | 1–2 | Brighton +1 | Chelsea 40% | |
| 2022-10-29 | 4–1 | Brighton +3 | Chelsea 44% | |
| 2022-01-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 49% | |
| 2021-12-29 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 67% | |
| 2021-04-20 | 0–0 | Draw | Chelsea 68% | |
| 2020-09-14 | 1–3 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 40% | |
| 2020-01-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 44% | |
| 2019-09-28 | 2–0 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 62% | |
| 2019-04-03 | 3–0 | Chelsea +3 | Chelsea 67% | |
| 2018-12-16 | 1–2 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 49% | |
| 2018-01-20 | 0–4 | Chelsea +4 | Chelsea 58% | |
| 2017-12-26 | 2–0 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 74% |