Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | 2–2 | Draw | Aston Villa 59% | |
| 2025-10-05 | 2–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 63% | |
| 2023-12-30 | 3–2 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 69% | |
| 2023-08-27 | 1–3 | Aston Villa +2 | Aston Villa 38% | |
| 2022-05-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Aston Villa 54% | |
| 2022-05-07 | 1–3 | Aston Villa +2 | Burnley 38% | |
| 2021-01-27 | 3–2 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 40% | |
| 2020-12-17 | 0–0 | Draw | Aston Villa 48% | |
| 2020-01-01 | 1–2 | Aston Villa +1 | Burnley 46% | |
| 2019-09-28 | 2–2 | Draw | Aston Villa 38% | |
| 2015-05-24 | 0–1 | Burnley +1 | Aston Villa 47% | |
| 2014-11-29 | 1–1 | Draw | Burnley 49% | |
| 2010-02-21 | 5–2 | Aston Villa +3 | Aston Villa 53% |