Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | 2–0 | Everton +2 | Everton 61% | |
| 2025-12-27 | 0–0 | Draw | Everton 41% | |
| 2024-04-06 | 1–0 | Everton +1 | Everton 55% | |
| 2023-12-16 | 0–2 | Everton +2 | Everton 40% | |
| 2022-04-06 | 3–2 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 43% | |
| 2021-09-13 | 3–1 | Everton +2 | Everton 57% | |
| 2021-03-13 | 1–2 | Burnley +1 | Everton 53% | |
| 2020-12-05 | 1–1 | Draw | Burnley 37% | |
| 2019-12-26 | 1–0 | Everton +1 | Everton 51% | |
| 2019-10-05 | 1–0 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 38% | |
| 2019-05-03 | 2–0 | Everton +2 | Everton 54% | |
| 2018-12-26 | 1–5 | Everton +4 | Everton 40% | |
| 2018-03-03 | 2–1 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 49% | |
| 2017-10-01 | 0–1 | Burnley +1 | Everton 44% | |
| 2017-04-15 | 3–1 | Everton +2 | Everton 60% | |
| 2016-10-22 | 2–1 | Burnley +1 | Everton 37% | |
| 2015-04-18 | 1–0 | Everton +1 | Everton 59% | |
| 2014-10-26 | 1–3 | Everton +2 | Everton 45% |