Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | 4–1 | Nottingham +3 | Nottingham 60% | |
| 2025-09-20 | 1–1 | Draw | Burnley 39% | |
| 2024-05-19 | 1–2 | Nottingham +1 | Burnley 40% | |
| 2023-09-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Nottingham 50% | |
| 2016-02-23 | 1–0 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 57% | |
| 2015-10-20 | 1–1 | Draw | Burnley 37% | |
| 2014-02-22 | 3–1 | Burnley +2 | Burnley 45% | |
| 2013-11-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Nottingham 38% | |
| 2013-04-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Burnley 39% | |
| 2012-12-08 | 2–0 | Nottingham +2 | Nottingham 47% | |
| 2012-01-31 | 0–2 | Burnley +2 | Burnley 39% | |
| 2011-09-27 | 5–1 | Burnley +4 | Burnley 42% | |
| 2011-04-12 | 2–0 | Nottingham +2 | Nottingham 45% | |
| 2010-08-07 | 1–0 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 49% |