Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | 3–0 | Sunderland +3 | Sunderland 54% | |
| 2025-08-23 | 2–0 | Burnley +2 | Burnley 42% | |
| 2025-01-17 | 0–0 | Draw | Burnley 55% | |
| 2024-08-24 | 1–0 | Sunderland +1 | Burnley 42% | |
| 2023-03-31 | 0–0 | Draw | Burnley 71% | |
| 2022-10-22 | 2–4 | Burnley +2 | Burnley 49% | |
| 2017-03-18 | 0–0 | Draw | Sunderland 37% | |
| 2016-12-31 | 4–1 | Burnley +3 | Burnley 46% | |
| 2015-01-31 | 2–0 | Sunderland +2 | Sunderland 49% | |
| 2014-09-20 | 0–0 | Draw | Burnley 39% | |
| 2010-04-17 | 2–1 | Sunderland +1 | Sunderland 53% |