Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | 2–1 | Lincoln +1 | Lincoln 59% | |
| 2025-09-13 | 0–1 | Lincoln +1 | Burton 36% | |
| 2025-02-22 | 0–1 | Burton +1 | Lincoln 54% | |
| 2024-08-10 | 2–3 | Lincoln +1 | Burton 39% | |
| 2024-02-03 | 0–1 | Lincoln +1 | Burton 41% | |
| 2023-10-14 | 0–1 | Burton +1 | Lincoln 49% | |
| 2023-04-25 | 0–1 | Burton +1 | Lincoln 54% | |
| 2022-12-26 | 3–0 | Burton +3 | Lincoln 37% | |
| 2022-01-29 | 1–2 | Burton +1 | Lincoln 44% | |
| 2021-09-25 | 1–2 | Lincoln +1 | Burton 40% | |
| 2021-04-20 | 0–1 | Lincoln +1 | Lincoln 37% | |
| 2020-12-26 | 5–1 | Lincoln +4 | Lincoln 60% | |
| 2020-03-07 | 3–2 | Lincoln +1 | Lincoln 40% | |
| 2019-12-07 | 0–2 | Lincoln +2 | Burton 53% | |
| 2011-03-08 | 3–1 | Burton +2 | Burton 49% | |
| 2010-09-28 | 0–0 | Draw | Lincoln 39% | |
| 2010-01-27 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 43% |