Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-01 | 7–0 | Leeds +7 | Leeds 65% | |
| 2024-09-21 | 0–2 | Leeds +2 | Leeds 39% | |
| 2024-01-13 | 0–3 | Leeds +3 | Leeds 43% | |
| 2023-08-06 | 2–2 | Draw | Leeds 52% | |
| 2020-06-21 | 2–0 | Cardiff +2 | Leeds 37% | |
| 2019-12-14 | 3–3 | Draw | Leeds 54% | |
| 2018-02-03 | 1–4 | Cardiff +3 | Leeds 42% | |
| 2017-09-26 | 3–1 | Cardiff +2 | Cardiff 39% | |
| 2017-02-11 | 0–2 | Cardiff +2 | Leeds 55% | |
| 2016-09-17 | 0–2 | Leeds +2 | Cardiff 43% | |
| 2016-03-08 | 0–2 | Leeds +2 | Cardiff 51% | |
| 2015-11-03 | 1–0 | Leeds +1 | Leeds 36% | |
| 2015-04-11 | 1–2 | Cardiff +1 | Leeds 43% | |
| 2014-11-01 | 3–1 | Cardiff +2 | Cardiff 51% | |
| 2013-02-02 | 0–1 | Cardiff +1 | Leeds 36% | |
| 2012-09-15 | 2–1 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 44% | |
| 2012-04-21 | 1–1 | Draw | Cardiff 53% | |
| 2011-10-30 | 1–1 | Draw | Leeds 46% | |
| 2011-01-04 | 2–1 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 47% | |
| 2010-10-25 | 0–4 | Cardiff +4 | Cardiff 40% |