Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011-04-20 | 3–1 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 63% | |
| 2010-11-20 | 1–0 | Birmingham +1 | Chelsea 49% | |
| 2010-01-27 | 3–0 | Chelsea +3 | Chelsea 47% |