Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-22 | 2–1 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 82% | |
| 2021-12-01 | 1–2 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 56% | |
| 2020-07-04 | 3–0 | Chelsea +3 | Chelsea 57% | |
| 2019-11-02 | 1–2 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 51% | |
| 2019-05-05 | 3–0 | Chelsea +3 | Chelsea 59% | |
| 2018-12-26 | 1–2 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 45% | |
| 2018-02-05 | 4–1 | Watford +3 | Chelsea 55% | |
| 2017-10-21 | 4–2 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 67% | |
| 2017-05-15 | 4–3 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 79% | |
| 2016-08-20 | 1–2 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 37% | |
| 2016-02-03 | 0–0 | Draw | Chelsea 40% | |
| 2015-12-26 | 2–2 | Draw | Chelsea 53% |