Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-02-12 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 57% | |
| 2015-09-26 | 1–2 | Burton +1 | Chesterfield 44% | |
| 2014-04-27 | 0–2 | Chesterfield +2 | Burton 40% | |
| 2013-10-19 | 0–2 | Burton +2 | Chesterfield 50% | |
| 2013-03-30 | 0–1 | Chesterfield +1 | Burton 45% | |
| 2012-12-15 | 1–1 | Draw | Chesterfield 51% | |
| 2011-02-11 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 37% | |
| 2010-11-13 | 1–2 | Burton +1 | Chesterfield 51% | |
| 2010-03-20 | 2–2 | Draw | Burton 44% |