Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | 0–1 | AFC Wimbledon +1 | Grimsby 36% | |
| 2024-11-09 | 0–1 | Grimsby +1 | AFC Wimbledon 57% | |
| 2024-03-05 | 0–0 | Draw | AFC Wimbledon 60% | |
| 2023-08-05 | 0–0 | Draw | Grimsby 46% | |
| 2023-05-08 | 1–0 | Grimsby +1 | Grimsby 51% | |
| 2022-12-03 | 1–0 | AFC Wimbledon +1 | AFC Wimbledon 46% |