Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-29 | 2–1 | Swansea +1 | Swansea 47% | |
| 2024-12-07 | 1–1 | Draw | Luton 43% | |
| 2023-03-04 | 1–0 | Luton +1 | Luton 48% | |
| 2022-08-20 | 0–2 | Luton +2 | Swansea 45% | |
| 2022-02-01 | 0–1 | Luton +1 | Swansea 44% | |
| 2021-09-18 | 3–3 | Draw | Luton 38% | |
| 2021-03-13 | 0–1 | Swansea +1 | Swansea 43% | |
| 2020-12-05 | 2–0 | Swansea +2 | Swansea 52% | |
| 2020-06-27 | 0–1 | Luton +1 | Swansea 60% | |
| 2019-12-21 | 0–1 | Swansea +1 | Swansea 42% |