Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-20 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-13 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 41% | |
| 2026-01-17 | 2–0 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester City 50% | |
| 2025-09-14 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 59% | |
| 2025-04-06 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester City 40% | |
| 2024-12-15 | 1–2 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester City 59% | |
| 2024-03-03 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 73% | |
| 2023-10-29 | 0–3 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 52% | |
| 2023-01-14 | 2–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester City 46% | |
| 2022-10-02 | 6–3 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 71% | |
| 2022-03-06 | 4–1 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 67% | |
| 2021-11-06 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 43% | |
| 2021-03-07 | 0–2 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester City 65% | |
| 2020-12-12 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester City 42% | |
| 2020-03-08 | 2–0 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester City 50% | |
| 2019-12-07 | 1–2 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester City 69% | |
| 2019-04-24 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 50% | |
| 2018-11-11 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 62% | |
| 2018-04-07 | 2–3 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester City 56% | |
| 2017-12-10 | 1–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester Utd 36% | |
| 2017-04-27 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester City 48% | |
| 2016-09-10 | 1–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester Utd 39% | |
| 2016-03-20 | 0–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester City 54% | |
| 2015-10-25 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester City 36% | |
| 2015-04-12 | 4–2 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester Utd 41% | |
| 2014-11-02 | 1–0 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 56% | |
| 2014-03-25 | 0–3 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 37% | |
| 2013-09-22 | 4–1 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 39% | |
| 2013-04-08 | 1–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester Utd 51% | |
| 2012-12-09 | 2–3 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester City 42% | |
| 2012-04-30 | 1–0 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 47% | |
| 2011-10-23 | 1–6 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester Utd 53% | |
| 2011-02-12 | 2–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 57% | |
| 2010-11-10 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester Utd 44% | |
| 2010-04-17 | 0–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester City 40% |