Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-02-26 | 3–2 | Barnsley +1 | Middlesbrough 46% | |
| 2021-10-20 | 2–0 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 47% | |
| 2021-04-10 | 2–0 | Barnsley +2 | Barnsley 52% | |
| 2020-10-03 | 2–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 45% | |
| 2020-02-22 | 1–0 | Barnsley +1 | Middlesbrough 36% | |
| 2019-11-27 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 54% | |
| 2018-03-10 | 3–1 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 62% | |
| 2017-10-14 | 2–2 | Draw | Middlesbrough 36% | |
| 2014-04-26 | 3–1 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 57% | |
| 2013-10-19 | 3–2 | Barnsley +1 | Barnsley 38% | |
| 2013-02-09 | 2–3 | Barnsley +1 | Middlesbrough 53% | |
| 2012-08-18 | 1–0 | Barnsley +1 | Barnsley 39% | |
| 2012-03-06 | 2–0 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 57% | |
| 2011-08-16 | 1–3 | Middlesbrough +2 | Barnsley 38% | |
| 2011-04-16 | 1–1 | Draw | Middlesbrough 47% | |
| 2010-08-28 | 2–0 | Barnsley +2 | Barnsley 42% | |
| 2010-02-09 | 2–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 45% |