Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-04 | 0–0 | Draw | Stoke 52% | |
| 2024-08-31 | 0–1 | Stoke +1 | Plymouth 41% | |
| 2024-04-20 | 3–0 | Stoke +3 | Stoke 43% | |
| 2023-12-02 | 2–1 | Plymouth +1 | Plymouth 44% |