Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | 1–0 | Port Vale +1 | Bolton 43% | |
| 2025-11-08 | 4–0 | Bolton +4 | Bolton 53% | |
| 2024-04-20 | 2–0 | Bolton +2 | Bolton 71% | |
| 2023-09-30 | 0–1 | Bolton +1 | Port Vale 39% | |
| 2023-02-25 | 2–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 63% | |
| 2022-08-13 | 0–0 | Draw | Bolton 37% | |
| 2021-03-13 | 0–1 | Bolton +1 | Port Vale 36% | |
| 2020-12-05 | 3–6 | Port Vale +3 | Bolton 45% | |
| 2017-04-22 | 0–2 | Bolton +2 | Bolton 49% | |
| 2016-10-29 | 3–1 | Bolton +2 | Bolton 52% |