Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-10 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-05 | 4–0 | Stoke +4 | Charlton 37% | |
| 2026-02-11 | 1–0 | Charlton +1 | Charlton 40% | |
| 2025-11-25 | 3–0 | Stoke +3 | Stoke 48% | |
| 2020-02-08 | 3–1 | Stoke +2 | Stoke 48% | |
| 2019-08-10 | 3–1 | Charlton +2 | Charlton 41% |