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← Home / England / League One / Matches / Stoke vs Derby

Stoke vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Stoke has a 40% chance to win.
Final Score: Stoke 3–1 Derby
Sat, Aug 9, 2025 · 3:00 PM BST
League One
Stoke
Rating 1641
Form: DLLWW
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3 – 1
Model Probability
40%
Draw 28%
32%
League One
Derby
Rating 1591
Form: DWWLD
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Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
StokeStatDerby
3All-time wins (10 meetings, 4 draws)3
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
0.9Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2025-05-03): Derby 0–0 Stoke

Recent Results

Stoke

@ Derby
Sat, May 3, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
vs Sheffield Utd
Fri, Apr 25, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0–2
@ Leeds
Mon, Apr 21, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0–6
vs Sheffield Wed
Fri, Apr 18, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0
@ Cardiff
Sat, Apr 12, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0

Derby

vs Stoke
Sat, May 3, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
@ Hull
Sat, Apr 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ West Brom
Mon, Apr 21, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3–1
vs Luton
Fri, Apr 18, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0–1
@ Portsmouth
Sat, Apr 12, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2