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Manchester Utd vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 40% chance to win.
Final Score: Manchester Utd 2–1 Chelsea
Sat, Sep 20, 2025 · 5:30 PM BST
League One
Manchester Utd
1-1-2Rating 1892
Form: LWDLW
2 – 1
Model Probability
32%
Draw 28%
40%
League One
Chelsea
2-2-0Rating 1913
Form: DWWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatChelsea
4Games played4
1.0Avg goals scored2.2
1.8Avg goals conceded0.8
25% / 25% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 50% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatChelsea
9All-time wins (31 meetings, 13 draws)9
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2025-05-16): Chelsea 1–0 Manchester Utd