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Oxford Utd vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Oxford Utd has a 43% chance to win.
Final Score: Oxford Utd 1–0 Derby
Sat, Oct 18, 2025 · 12:30 PM BST
League One
Oxford Utd
1-3-5Rating 1482
Form: LDLWD
1 – 0
Model Probability
43%
Draw 28%
30%
League One
Derby
1-5-3Rating 1591
Form: DDDLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Oxford UtdStatDerby
9Games played9
1.1Avg goals scored1.2
1.4Avg goals conceded1.7
11% / 33% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss11% / 56% / 33%
0% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Oxford UtdStatDerby
1All-time wins (6 meetings, 2 draws)3
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2025-02-11): Derby 0–0 Oxford Utd