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← Home / England / League One / Matches / Aston Villa vs Manchester City

Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 41% chance to win.
Final Score: Aston Villa 1–0 Manchester City
Sun, Oct 26, 2025 · 2:00 PM GMT
League One
Aston Villa
3-3-2Rating 1943
Form: WWWDD
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1 – 0
Model Probability
31%
Draw 28%
41%
League One
Manchester City
5-1-2Rating 2031
Form: WWWDW
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Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Aston VillaStatManchester City
8Games played8
1.0Avg goals scored2.1
1.0Avg goals conceded0.8
38% / 38% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss62% / 12% / 25%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
Aston VillaStatManchester City
4All-time wins (25 meetings, 2 draws)19
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
0.8Average goals2.5
Last meeting (2025-04-22): Manchester City 2–1 Aston Villa

Recent Results

Aston Villa

@ Tottenham
Sun, Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1
vs Burnley
Sun, Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1
vs Fulham
Sun, Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3–1
@ Sunderland
Sun, Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
@ Everton
Sat, Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0

Manchester City

vs Everton
Sat, Oct 18, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0
@ Brentford
Sun, Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Burnley
Sat, Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5–1
@ Arsenal
Sun, Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
vs Manchester Utd
Sun, Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3–0