SHARPMODELS
NFL NBA MLB NHL EPL
Championship League One League Two
La Liga Bundesliga Serie A Ligue 1
UEFA Nations League
Global Soccer Rankings All Countries →
Articles
Matchups Teams Power Ratings Season Outlook Simulator Strength of Schedule Standings Results Schedule Head-to-Head Archive
← Home / England / League One / Matches / Aston Villa vs Arsenal

Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 46% chance to win.
Final Score: Aston Villa 2–1 Arsenal
Sat, Dec 6, 2025 · 12:30 PM GMT
League One
Aston Villa
8-3-3Rating 1943
Form: WWWWL
‹ Prev Next ›
2 – 1
Model Probability
27%
Draw 27%
46%
League One
Arsenal
10-3-1Rating 2091
Form: WDWDW
‹ Prev Next ›

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Aston VillaStatArsenal
14Games played14
1.4Avg goals scored1.9
1.0Avg goals conceded0.5
57% / 21% / 21%Win / Draw / Loss71% / 21% / 7%
71% Home win % / Away win % 57%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
Aston VillaStatArsenal
7All-time wins (25 meetings, 3 draws)15
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.0Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2025-01-18): Arsenal 2–2 Aston Villa

Recent Results

Aston Villa

@ Brighton
Wed, Dec 3, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4–3
vs Wolves
Sun, Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Leeds
Sun, Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1
vs Bournemouth
Sun, Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4–0
@ Liverpool
Sat, Nov 1, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0–2

Arsenal

vs Brentford
Wed, Dec 3, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0
@ Chelsea
Sun, Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
vs Tottenham
Sun, Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4–1
@ Sunderland
Sat, Nov 8, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
@ Burnley
Sat, Nov 1, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0