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Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 57% chance to win.
Final Score: Manchester City 2–1 Newcastle
Sat, Feb 21, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
League One
Manchester City
16-5-5Rating 2031
Form: WWDWL
2 – 1
Model Probability
57%
Draw 24%
19%
League One
Newcastle
10-6-10Rating 1890
Form: WLLLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester CityStatNewcastle
26Games played26
2.1Avg goals scored1.4
0.9Avg goals conceded1.4
62% / 19% / 19%Win / Draw / Loss38% / 23% / 38%
77% Home win % / Away win % 23%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester CityStatNewcastle
23All-time wins (29 meetings, 4 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.8Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2025-11-22): Newcastle 2–1 Manchester City