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Everton vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability

Everton has a 37% chance to win.
Final Score: Everton 0–1 Manchester Utd
Mon, Feb 23, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
League One
Everton
10-7-9Rating 1901
Form: LWDDW
0 – 1
Model Probability
37%
Draw 28%
35%
League One
Manchester Utd
12-9-5Rating 1892
Form: DWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

EvertonStatManchester Utd
26Games played26
1.1Avg goals scored1.8
1.2Avg goals conceded1.4
38% / 27% / 35%Win / Draw / Loss46% / 35% / 19%
31% Home win % / Away win % 31%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
EvertonStatManchester Utd
8All-time wins (32 meetings, 9 draws)15
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.2Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2025-11-24): Manchester Utd 0–1 Everton