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Final Score: Manchester Utd 3–2 Liverpool
League One
Sun, May 3, 2026 · 3:30 PM BST

Manchester Utd vs Liverpool Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester Utd has a 41% chance to win.

17-10-7 · Rating 1941
Form: WWLDW
VS
17-7-10 · Rating 1963
Form: WWWLD
Model Probability
41%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatLiverpool
34Games played34
1.8Avg goals scored1.7
1.4Avg goals conceded1.3
50% / 29% / 21%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 21% / 29%
65% Home win % / Away win % 41%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatLiverpool
12All-time wins (32 meetings, 10 draws)10
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.2Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2025-10-19): Liverpool 1–2 Manchester Utd