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League One
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 12:30 PM BST

Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction & Win Probability

Plymouth has a 53% chance to win.

4-1-2 · Rating 1459
Form: WWWLW
VS
3-2-2 · Rating 1398
Form: DWWLW
Model Probability
53%
22%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

AFC Wimbledon

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.9%9.1%17.6%
If Win 1.4%3.7%15.8%9.4%
If Draw <1%2.1%9.7%16.7%
If Lose <1%1.0%7.3%21.8%

Plymouth

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 9.3%19.6%36.8%1.1%
If Win 11.6%25.1%36.3%1.0%
If Draw 8.5%18.1%35.0%1.8%
If Lose 6.5%13.8%29.5%2.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PlymouthStatAFC Wimbledon
7Games played7
2.0Avg goals scored0.7
1.4Avg goals conceded1.0
57% / 14% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 29% / 29%
67% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PlymouthStatAFC Wimbledon
9All-time wins (21 meetings, 5 draws)7
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
1.4Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-04-18): AFC Wimbledon 1–3 Plymouth