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← Home / England / League One / Matches / Liverpool vs Manchester City
League One
Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · 4:30 PM BST

Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 41% chance to win.

Liverpool
2-3-0 · Rating 1963
Form: WDWDD
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VS
Manchester City
5-0-0 · Rating 2063
Form: WWWWW
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Model Probability
31%
41%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LiverpoolStatManchester City
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored2.6
0.8Avg goals conceded1.0
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss100% / 0% / 0%
0% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
LiverpoolStatManchester City
11All-time wins (33 meetings, 11 draws)11
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-02-08): Liverpool 1–2 Manchester City

Recent Results

Liverpool

@ Bournemouth
Sun, Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Fulham
Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
@ Ipswich
Fri, Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0
vs Nottingham
Sat, Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
@ Newcastle
Sun, Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2

Manchester City

vs Sunderland
Sun, Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5–3
@ Manchester Utd
Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Coventry
Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Crystal Palace
Fri, Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4–1
vs Bournemouth
Sun, Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1