SHARPMODELS
NFL NBA MLB NHL EPL
Championship League One League Two
La Liga Bundesliga Serie A Ligue 1
UEFA Nations League
Global Soccer Rankings All Countries →
Articles
Matchups Teams Power Ratings Season Outlook Simulator Strength of Schedule Standings Results Schedule Head-to-Head Archive
← Home / England / League One / Matches / Derby vs Watford

Derby vs Watford Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 45% chance to win.
League One
Sat, Nov 28, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
League One
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL
‹ Prev Next ›
vs
Model Probability
45%
Draw 27%
28%
League One
Watford
4-3-8Rating 1589
Form: DWLLW
‹ Prev Next ›

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatWatford
15Games played15
0.9Avg goals scored0.9
2.0Avg goals conceded1.5
13% / 27% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss27% / 20% / 53%
12% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
DerbyStatWatford
7All-time wins (17 meetings, 1 draws)9
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
1.7Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-02-21): Watford 2–0 Derby

Recent Results

Derby

vs Bolton
Fri, Nov 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3–1
vs Norwich
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0–4
@ Millwall
Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1–4
@ Sheffield Utd
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
vs Stoke
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0–1

Watford

vs Middlesbrough
Sat, Nov 7, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
vs Lincoln
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Norwich
Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2–3
@ Wolves
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0–1
vs Charlton
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0