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MK Dons vs Notts County Prediction & Win Probability

MK Dons has a 45% chance to win.
League One
Sat, Nov 28, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT
League One
MK Dons
4-6-3Rating 1404
Form: WWWLW
vs
Model Probability
45%
Draw 27%
28%
League One
Notts County
3-5-4Rating 1397
Form: WDWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Notts County

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%5.1%14.9%
If Win <1%<1%8.8%8.5%
If Draw <1%<1%4.5%14.2%
If Lose <1%<1%3.4%19.6%

MK Dons

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.3%9.8%6.9%
If Win <1%2.6%11.6%4.6%
If Draw <1%<1%8.7%7.7%
If Lose <1%<1%6.4%11.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MK DonsStatNotts County
13Games played12
1.7Avg goals scored1.1
1.5Avg goals conceded1.2
31% / 46% / 23%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 42% / 33%
43% Home win % / Away win % 17%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MK DonsStatNotts County
9All-time wins (18 meetings, 5 draws)4
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.7Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2025-12-29): MK Dons 1–1 Notts County