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MK Dons vs Stevenage Prediction & Win Probability

MK Dons has a 38% chance to win.
League One
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
League One
MK Dons
4-6-3Rating 1404
Form: WWWLW
vs
Model Probability
38%
Draw 28%
34%
League One
Stevenage
4-4-4Rating 1451
Form: DLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Stevenage

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.1%5.8%21.7%2.3%
If Win 3.2%8.2%29.7%1.3%
If Draw 2.3%5.6%22.1%2.6%
If Lose 1.6%3.7%18.2%3.3%

MK Dons

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.2%9.5%7.5%
If Win <1%2.6%13.6%4.7%
If Draw <1%1.0%9.2%7.7%
If Lose <1%<1%6.4%10.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MK DonsStatStevenage
13Games played12
1.7Avg goals scored1.4
1.5Avg goals conceded1.1
31% / 46% / 23%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 33% / 33%
43% Home win % / Away win % 17%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MK DonsStatStevenage
5All-time wins (9 meetings, 1 draws)3
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.8Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-10-24): Stevenage 0–1 MK Dons