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League One
Sat, Jan 30, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Bolton vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Bolton has a 41% chance to win.

3-1-4 · Rating 1600
Form: WWLLL
VS
1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
Model Probability
41%
31%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BoltonStatDerby
8Games played8
1.4Avg goals scored0.9
1.9Avg goals conceded1.8
38% / 12% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss12% / 25% / 62%
50% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BoltonStatDerby
3All-time wins (16 meetings, 5 draws)8
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
0.8Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2024-03-16): Derby 1–0 Bolton